HCTI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($3.52)
DCF	$-2390.55	-68013.4%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$11.51M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 44.6% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 5.94%

Computed WACC: 5.94%

Cost of equity (Re)9.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)63.52%

Debt weight (D/V)36.48%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5178.12

Current Price$3.52

Upside / Downside-147205.7%

Net Debt (used)-$99,000

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	36.6%	40.6%	44.6%	48.6%	52.6%
7.0%	$-2850.27	$-3284.58	$-3770.69	$-4313.12	$-4916.65
8.0%	$-2232.98	$-2571.63	$-2950.56	$-3373.30	$-3843.54
9.0%	$-1811.39	$-2084.75	$-2390.55	$-2731.60	$-3110.90
10.0%	$-1506.81	$-1733.05	$-1986.06	$-2268.16	$-2581.81
11.0%	$-1277.62	$-1468.44	$-1681.77	$-1919.56	$-2183.87

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-85.35

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $17.67

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$3.52

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 5.94%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 5.94%

Cost of equity (Re)9.35%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)63.52%

Debt weight (D/V)36.48%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$3.52

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth44.6%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$11.51M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$3.52

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$5.91M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -1.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$99,000

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.36

Current Price$3.52

Upside / Downside+194.2%

Implied EV$7.74M

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