HDSN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($7.26)
DCF	$281.17	+3772.9%
Graham Number	$8.37	+15.2%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -13.1%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$7.36	+1.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $37.72M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 19.5% / EPS: 58.8%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 9.10%

Computed WACC: 9.10%

Cost of equity (Re)9.26%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.28%

Debt weight (D/V)1.72%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$275.57

Current Price$7.26

Upside / Downside+3695.7%

Net Debt (used)-$84.14M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	50.8%	54.8%	58.8%	62.8%	66.8%
7.0%	$347.79	$395.62	$448.63	$507.22	$571.82
8.0%	$270.85	$307.94	$349.02	$394.43	$444.50
9.0%	$218.43	$248.20	$281.17	$317.60	$357.77
10.0%	$180.67	$205.16	$232.29	$262.26	$295.29
11.0%	$152.33	$172.87	$195.61	$220.74	$248.43

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.51

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $6.10

Results

Graham Number$8.37

Current Price$7.26

Margin of Safety+15.2%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 9.10%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 9.10%

Cost of equity (Re)9.26%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.28%

Debt weight (D/V)1.72%

Results

Current Price$7.26

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-12.9%

Historical Revenue Growth19.5%

Historical Earnings Growth58.8%

Base FCF (TTM)$37.72M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$7.26

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $33.14M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 7.0×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$84.14M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$7.36

Current Price$7.26

Upside / Downside+1.4%

Implied EV$232.37M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.08B	-$1.08B	-$84.14M	$915.86M	$1.92B
3.0x	$50.79	$27.53	$4.28	$-18.98	$-42.23
5.0x	$52.33	$29.07	$5.82	$-17.44	$-40.69
7.0x	$53.87	$30.61	$7.36	$-15.89	$-39.15
9.0x	$55.41	$32.16	$8.90	$-14.35	$-37.61
11.0x	$56.95	$33.70	$10.44	$-12.81	$-36.07

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