HEI-A

HEI-A — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($246.39)
DCF$221.97-9.9%
Graham Number$59.67-75.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.0%
DDM$4.94-98.0%
EV/EBITDA$414.38+68.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $690.76M
Rev: 14.4% / EPS: 12.5%
Computed: 9.34%
Computed WACC: 9.34%
Cost of equity (Re)9.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.17%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.86%
Debt weight (D/V)6.14%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$208.35
Current Price$246.39
Upside / Downside-15.4%
Net Debt (used)$2.25B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.4%10.4%14.4%18.4%22.4%
7.0%$236.96$286.97$344.54$410.48$485.71
8.0%$186.35$226.17$271.96$324.37$384.11
9.0%$151.46$184.28$221.97$265.07$314.17
10.0%$126.00$153.71$185.51$221.85$263.20
11.0%$106.63$130.47$157.80$189.01$224.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.90
Yahoo: $32.30

Results

Graham Number$59.67
Current Price$246.39
Margin of Safety-75.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.34%
Computed WACC: 9.34%
Cost of equity (Re)9.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.17%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)93.86%
Debt weight (D/V)6.14%

Results

Current Price$246.39
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.0%
Historical Revenue Growth14.4%
Historical Earnings Growth12.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$690.76M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.94
Current Price$246.39
Upside / Downside-98.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.26B
Current: 29.4×
Default: $2.25B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$414.38
Current Price$246.39
Upside / Downside+68.2%
Implied EV$37.17B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$246.71M$1.25B$2.25B$3.25B$4.25B
25.4x$378.08$366.21$354.34$342.47$330.61
27.4x$408.09$396.23$384.36$372.49$360.63
29.4x$438.11$426.25$414.38$402.51$390.65
31.4x$468.13$456.27$444.40$432.53$420.66
33.4x$498.15$486.28$474.42$462.55$450.68