HEI

HEI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($329.25)
DCF$339.20+3.0%
Graham Number$59.73-81.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.9%
DDM$4.94-98.5%
EV/EBITDA$842.90+156.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $690.76M
Rev: 14.4% / EPS: 12.5%
Computed: 9.43%
Computed WACC: 9.43%
Cost of equity (Re)9.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.17%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.82%
Debt weight (D/V)5.18%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$313.24
Current Price$329.25
Upside / Downside-4.9%
Net Debt (used)$2.25B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term6.4%10.4%14.4%18.4%22.4%
7.0%$362.11$438.54$526.50$627.28$742.24
8.0%$284.77$345.63$415.60$495.69$586.98
9.0%$231.46$281.60$339.20$405.08$480.10
10.0%$192.55$234.90$283.49$339.02$402.21
11.0%$162.94$199.38$241.15$288.83$343.06

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.91
Yahoo: $32.30

Results

Graham Number$59.73
Current Price$329.25
Margin of Safety-81.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.43%
Computed WACC: 9.43%
Cost of equity (Re)9.94%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.17%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.82%
Debt weight (D/V)5.18%

Results

Current Price$329.25
Implied Near-term FCF Growth15.2%
Historical Revenue Growth14.4%
Historical Earnings Growth12.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$690.76M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.94
Current Price$329.25
Upside / Downside-98.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.26B
Current: 38.5×
Default: $2.25B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$842.90
Current Price$329.25
Upside / Downside+156.0%
Implied EV$48.73B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$246.71M$1.25B$2.25B$3.25B$4.25B
34.5x$787.42$769.29$751.15$733.02$714.89
36.5x$833.30$815.16$797.03$778.89$760.76
38.5x$879.17$861.04$842.90$824.77$806.63
40.5x$925.05$906.91$888.78$870.64$852.51
42.5x$970.92$952.79$934.65$916.52$898.38