HFWA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($25.93)
DCF	$4.96	-80.9%
Graham Number	$34.59	+33.4%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$19.78	-23.7%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 20.2% / EPS: 90.8%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 6.42%

Computed WACC: 6.42%

Cost of equity (Re)7.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)91.75%

Debt weight (D/V)8.25%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.96

Current Price$25.93

Upside / Downside-80.9%

Net Debt (used)-$168.36M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	82.8%	86.8%	90.8%	94.8%	98.8%
7.0%	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96
8.0%	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96
9.0%	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96
10.0%	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96
11.0%	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96	$4.96

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $1.96

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $27.13

Results

Graham Number$34.59

Current Price$25.93

Margin of Safety+33.4%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 6.42%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 6.42%

Cost of equity (Re)7.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.49 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)91.75%

Debt weight (D/V)8.25%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$25.93

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth20.2%

Historical Earnings Growth90.8%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.96

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$19.78

Current Price$25.93

Upside / Downside-23.7%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$168.36M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.96

Current Price$25.93

Upside / Downside-80.9%

Implied EV$0

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