HHH

HHH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($71.90)
DCF$78.67+9.4%
Graham Number$56.47-21.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$73.15+1.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $474.77M
Rev: -36.5% / EPS: -96.9%
Computed: 5.11%
Computed WACC: 5.11%
Cost of equity (Re)11.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)45.60%
Debt weight (D/V)54.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$289.60
Current Price$71.90
Upside / Downside+302.8%
Net Debt (used)$3.64B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$79.87$108.38$141.54$179.92$224.13
8.0%$54.78$77.73$104.38$135.19$170.63
9.0%$37.40$56.51$78.67$104.25$133.64
10.0%$24.64$40.94$59.82$81.58$106.55
11.0%$14.87$29.03$45.41$64.26$85.88

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.21
Yahoo: $64.13

Results

Graham Number$56.47
Current Price$71.90
Margin of Safety-21.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.11%
Computed WACC: 5.11%
Cost of equity (Re)11.20%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.25 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)45.60%
Debt weight (D/V)54.40%

Results

Current Price$71.90
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-9.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-36.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-96.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$474.77M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$71.90
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $505.08M
Current: 15.9×
Default: $3.64B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$73.15
Current Price$71.90
Upside / Downside+1.7%
Implied EV$8.01B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.64B$2.64B$3.64B$4.64B$5.64B
11.9x$72.81$56.04$39.27$22.50$5.73
13.9x$89.75$72.98$56.21$39.44$22.67
15.9x$106.69$89.92$73.15$56.38$39.61
17.9x$123.62$106.86$90.09$73.32$56.55
19.9x$140.56$123.79$107.03$90.26$73.49