HKD

HKD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.46)
DCF$-0.78-153.5%
Graham Number$0.69-52.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$2.25+54.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 1085.9% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.78
Current Price$1.46
Upside / Downside-153.5%
Net Debt (used)$153.89M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1077.9%1081.9%1085.9%1089.9%1093.9%
7.0%$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78
8.0%$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78
9.0%$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78
10.0%$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78
11.0%$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78$-0.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.23
Yahoo: $0.09

Results

Graham Number$0.69
Current Price$1.46
Margin of Safety-52.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$1.46
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth1085.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.46
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $54.78M
Current: 10.9×
Default: $153.89M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.25
Current Price$1.46
Upside / Downside+54.3%
Implied EV$597.73M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.85B-$846.11M$153.89M$1.15B$2.15B
6.9x$11.29$6.22$1.14$-3.93$-9.01
8.9x$11.85$6.77$1.70$-3.38$-8.45
10.9x$12.40$7.33$2.25$-2.82$-7.90
12.9x$12.96$7.88$2.81$-2.27$-7.34
14.9x$13.52$8.44$3.36$-1.71$-6.79