HLI

HLI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($163.13)
DCF$10.29-93.7%
Graham Number$69.44-57.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$49.44-69.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 13.0% / EPS: 22.3%
Computed: 9.20%
Computed WACC: 9.20%
Cost of equity (Re)9.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.83%
Debt weight (D/V)4.17%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$10.29
Current Price$163.13
Upside / Downside-93.7%
Net Debt (used)-$559.35M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term14.3%18.3%22.3%26.3%30.3%
7.0%$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29
8.0%$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29
9.0%$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29
10.0%$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29
11.0%$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29$10.29

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.51
Yahoo: $32.92

Results

Graham Number$69.44
Current Price$163.13
Margin of Safety-57.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.20%
Computed WACC: 9.20%
Cost of equity (Re)9.60%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.83%
Debt weight (D/V)4.17%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$163.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth13.0%
Historical Earnings Growth22.3%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$49.44
Current Price$163.13
Upside / Downside-69.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$559.35M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.29
Current Price$163.13
Upside / Downside-93.7%
Implied EV$0