HLP

HLP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($1.01)
DCF$0.52-48.4%
Graham Number$0.92-8.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 48.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$1.01-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $425,894
Rev: 37.7% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$0.52
Current Price$1.01
Upside / Downside-48.3%
Net Debt (used)$8.54M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term29.7%33.7%37.7%41.7%45.7%
7.0%$0.63$0.75$0.88$1.03$1.20
8.0%$0.47$0.56$0.67$0.79$0.92
9.0%$0.36$0.44$0.52$0.62$0.72
10.0%$0.28$0.35$0.42$0.50$0.58
11.0%$0.22$0.28$0.34$0.40$0.48

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.05
Yahoo: $0.76

Results

Graham Number$0.92
Current Price$1.01
Margin of Safety-8.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$1.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth48.8%
Historical Revenue Growth37.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$425,894
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$1.01
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.28M
Current: 36.3×
Default: $8.54M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.01
Current Price$1.01
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$82.72M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.99B-$991.46M$8.54M$1.01B$2.01B
32.3x$28.12$14.50$0.89$-12.73$-26.35
34.3x$28.18$14.56$0.95$-12.67$-26.29
36.3x$28.24$14.63$1.01$-12.61$-26.22
38.3x$28.31$14.69$1.07$-12.54$-26.16
40.3x$28.37$14.75$1.13$-12.48$-26.10