HLX

HLX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.31)
DCF$18.99+103.9%
Graham Number$8.22-11.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -6.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$9.32+0.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $169.58M
Rev: -5.9% / EPS: -56.9%
Computed: 7.53%
Computed WACC: 7.53%
Cost of equity (Re)11.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.50%
Debt weight (D/V)31.50%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$24.97
Current Price$9.31
Upside / Downside+168.2%
Net Debt (used)$184.55M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$19.16$23.29$28.09$33.65$40.05
8.0%$15.53$18.85$22.71$27.17$32.31
9.0%$13.01$15.78$18.99$22.69$26.95
10.0%$11.16$13.52$16.26$19.41$23.03
11.0%$9.75$11.80$14.17$16.90$20.03

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.28
Yahoo: $10.73

Results

Graham Number$8.22
Current Price$9.31
Margin of Safety-11.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.53%
Computed WACC: 7.53%
Cost of equity (Re)11.00%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.22 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.50%
Debt weight (D/V)31.50%

Results

Current Price$9.31
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-9.7%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-56.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$169.58M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$9.31
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $217.74M
Current: 7.1×
Default: $184.55M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.32
Current Price$9.31
Upside / Downside+0.2%
Implied EV$1.56B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.82B-$815.45M$184.55M$1.18B$2.18B
3.1x$17.00$10.20$3.40$-3.40$-10.20
5.1x$19.96$13.16$6.36$-0.44$-7.23
7.1x$22.92$16.12$9.32$2.53$-4.27
9.1x$25.88$19.08$12.28$5.49$-1.31
11.1x$28.84$22.04$15.25$8.45$1.65