HNI

HNI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($44.73)
DCF$225.18+403.4%
Graham Number$29.58-33.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.1%
DDM$28.02-37.4%
EV/EBITDA$33.01-26.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $153.15M
Rev: 38.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.17%
Computed WACC: 6.17%
Cost of equity (Re)9.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.59%
Debt weight (D/V)33.41%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$465.42
Current Price$44.73
Upside / Downside+940.5%
Net Debt (used)$1.38B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term30.3%34.3%38.3%42.3%46.3%
7.0%$265.95$311.42$362.57$419.92$484.02
8.0%$205.15$240.72$280.72$325.55$375.64
9.0%$163.56$192.37$224.75$261.03$301.55
10.0%$133.47$157.39$184.26$214.36$247.97
11.0%$110.80$131.03$153.76$179.21$207.61

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.11
Yahoo: $35.03

Results

Graham Number$29.58
Current Price$44.73
Margin of Safety-33.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.17%
Computed WACC: 6.17%
Cost of equity (Re)9.27%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.90 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.59%
Debt weight (D/V)33.41%

Results

Current Price$44.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.2%
Historical Revenue Growth38.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$153.15M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.02
Current Price$44.73
Upside / Downside-37.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $348.70M
Current: 10.7×
Default: $1.38B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$33.01
Current Price$44.73
Upside / Downside-26.2%
Implied EV$3.72B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.38B$1.38B$1.38B$1.38B$1.38B
6.7x$13.37$13.37$13.37$13.37$13.37
8.7x$23.19$23.19$23.19$23.19$23.19
10.7x$33.01$33.01$33.01$33.01$33.01
12.7x$42.84$42.84$42.84$42.84$42.84
14.7x$52.66$52.66$52.66$52.66$52.66