HNST — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($2.63)
DCF	$6.78	+157.9%
Graham Number	$1.42	-45.8%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -14.4%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$2.65	+0.6%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $38.88M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -11.8% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 16.15%

Computed WACC: 16.15%

Cost of equity (Re)16.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.29 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.47%

Debt weight (D/V)4.53%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3.55

Current Price$2.63

Upside / Downside+35.0%

Net Debt (used)-$75.62M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$6.83	$8.08	$9.53	$11.21	$13.14
8.0%	$5.74	$6.74	$7.91	$9.25	$10.80
9.0%	$4.98	$5.81	$6.78	$7.90	$9.18
10.0%	$4.42	$5.13	$5.96	$6.91	$8.00
11.0%	$4.00	$4.61	$5.33	$6.15	$7.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.06

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.50

Results

Graham Number$1.42

Current Price$2.63

Margin of Safety-45.8%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 16.15%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 16.15%

Cost of equity (Re)16.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.29 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.47%

Debt weight (D/V)4.53%

Results

Current Price$2.63

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-3.0%

Historical Revenue Growth-11.8%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$38.88M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.63

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $9.73M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 22.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$75.62M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.65

Current Price$2.63

Upside / Downside+0.6%

Implied EV$220.18M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.08B	-$1.08B	-$75.62M	$924.38M	$1.92B
18.6x	$20.19	$11.24	$2.30	$-6.65	$-15.59
20.6x	$20.36	$11.42	$2.47	$-6.47	$-15.42
22.6x	$20.54	$11.59	$2.65	$-6.30	$-15.24
24.6x	$20.71	$11.77	$2.82	$-6.13	$-15.07
26.6x	$20.88	$11.94	$2.99	$-5.95	$-14.90

← Overview Financial Statements ← Companies