HOLX

HOLX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($75.45)
DCF$66.05-12.5%
Graham Number$35.71-52.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$75.45-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $848.61M
Rev: 2.5% / EPS: -9.2%
Computed: 7.22%
Computed WACC: 7.22%
Cost of equity (Re)8.30%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.98%
Debt weight (D/V)13.02%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$91.52
Current Price$75.45
Upside / Downside+21.3%
Net Debt (used)$153.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$66.62$80.23$96.07$114.40$135.50
8.0%$54.64$65.60$78.33$93.04$109.96
9.0%$46.34$55.47$66.05$78.26$92.29
10.0%$40.25$48.03$57.05$67.44$79.36
11.0%$35.59$42.35$50.17$59.17$69.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.41
Yahoo: $23.51

Results

Graham Number$35.71
Current Price$75.45
Margin of Safety-52.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.22%
Computed WACC: 7.22%
Cost of equity (Re)8.30%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)86.98%
Debt weight (D/V)13.02%

Results

Current Price$75.45
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.9%
Historical Revenue Growth2.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-9.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$848.61M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$75.45
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.35B
Current: 12.6×
Default: $153.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$75.45
Current Price$75.45
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$17.00B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.85B-$846.30M$153.70M$1.15B$2.15B
8.6x$60.21$55.73$51.25$46.77$42.29
10.6x$72.31$67.83$63.35$58.87$54.39
12.6x$84.41$79.93$75.45$70.97$66.49
14.6x$96.51$92.03$87.55$83.07$78.59
16.6x$108.61$104.13$99.65$95.17$90.69