HOTH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.02)
DCF	$-7.01	-787.3%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$6.64M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.31%

Computed WACC: 7.31%

Cost of equity (Re)7.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.55 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.91%

Debt weight (D/V)0.09%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9.68

Current Price$1.02

Upside / Downside-1049.3%

Net Debt (used)-$7.83M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-7.07	$-8.61	$-10.39	$-12.45	$-14.83
8.0%	$-5.73	$-6.96	$-8.39	$-10.05	$-11.95
9.0%	$-4.79	$-5.82	$-7.01	$-8.39	$-9.97
10.0%	$-4.11	$-4.98	$-6.00	$-7.17	$-8.51
11.0%	$-3.58	$-4.34	$-5.22	$-6.24	$-7.40

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.02

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.54

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.02

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.31%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.31%

Cost of equity (Re)7.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.55 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.91%

Debt weight (D/V)0.09%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.02

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$6.64M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.02

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$7.83M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$0.50

Current Price$1.02

Upside / Downside-50.5%

Implied EV$0

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