HOVR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.86)
DCF	$-1.28	-168.8%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$4.61M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: — / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 20.45%

Computed WACC: 20.45%

Cost of equity (Re)20.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.94 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.98%

Debt weight (D/V)0.02%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.10

Current Price$1.86

Upside / Downside-105.5%

Net Debt (used)-$24.29M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-1.29	$-1.67	$-2.10	$-2.60	$-3.18
8.0%	$-0.97	$-1.27	$-1.61	$-2.02	$-2.48
9.0%	$-0.74	$-0.99	$-1.28	$-1.61	$-2.00
10.0%	$-0.57	$-0.79	$-1.03	$-1.32	$-1.64
11.0%	$-0.44	$-0.63	$-0.84	$-1.09	$-1.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.79

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.14

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.86

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 20.45%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 20.45%

Cost of equity (Re)20.46%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.94 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.98%

Debt weight (D/V)0.02%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$1.86

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth—

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$4.61M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.86

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$18.45M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -3.8×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$24.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.15

Current Price$1.86

Upside / Downside+15.9%

Implied EV$70.93M

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