HPF

HPF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($16.16)
DCF$4.24-73.8%
Graham Number$22.04+36.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.7%
DDM$30.49+88.7%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $17.00M
Rev: -2.0% / EPS: -53.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.24
Current Price$16.16
Upside / Downside-73.8%
Net Debt (used)$206.70M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$4.36$7.17$10.45$14.24$18.60
8.0%$1.88$4.15$6.78$9.82$13.32
9.0%$0.17$2.05$4.24$6.77$9.67
10.0%$-1.09$0.52$2.38$4.53$6.99
11.0%$-2.06$-0.66$0.96$2.82$4.95

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.36
Yahoo: $15.88

Results

Graham Number$22.04
Current Price$16.16
Margin of Safety+36.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$16.16
Implied Near-term FCF Growth15.7%
Historical Revenue Growth-2.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-53.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$17.00M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.49
Current Price$16.16
Upside / Downside+88.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $206.70M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-9.56
Current Price$16.16
Upside / Downside-159.2%
Implied EV$0