HPI

HPI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($16.21)
DCF$2.67-83.5%
Graham Number$22.22+37.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.8%
DDM$30.49+88.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $18.71M
Rev: -1.9% / EPS: -53.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2.67
Current Price$16.21
Upside / Downside-83.5%
Net Debt (used)$257.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$2.77$5.28$8.19$11.56$15.44
8.0%$0.57$2.58$4.93$7.63$10.74
9.0%$-0.96$0.72$2.67$4.91$7.49
10.0%$-2.08$-0.65$1.01$2.92$5.12
11.0%$-2.93$-1.69$-0.25$1.40$3.30

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.37
Yahoo: $16.02

Results

Graham Number$22.22
Current Price$16.21
Margin of Safety+37.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$16.21
Implied Near-term FCF Growth17.8%
Historical Revenue Growth-1.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-53.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$18.71M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$30.49
Current Price$16.21
Upside / Downside+88.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $257.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-9.61
Current Price$16.21
Upside / Downside-159.3%
Implied EV$0