HQI

HQI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.18)
DCF$13.99+14.9%
Graham Number$7.51-38.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 2.7%
DDM$4.94-59.4%
EV/EBITDA$11.95-1.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $11.27M
Rev: -9.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.68%
Computed WACC: 9.68%
Cost of equity (Re)9.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.73%
Debt weight (D/V)1.27%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$12.64
Current Price$12.18
Upside / Downside+3.8%
Net Debt (used)$1.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$14.11$16.98$20.32$24.19$28.64
8.0%$11.59$13.90$16.58$19.68$23.25
9.0%$9.84$11.76$13.99$16.57$19.53
10.0%$8.55$10.19$12.09$14.29$16.80
11.0%$7.57$9.00$10.64$12.54$14.72

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.52
Yahoo: $4.83

Results

Graham Number$7.51
Current Price$12.18
Margin of Safety-38.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.68%
Computed WACC: 9.68%
Cost of equity (Re)9.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.73%
Debt weight (D/V)1.27%

Results

Current Price$12.18
Implied Near-term FCF Growth4.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-9.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$11.27M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.24

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.94
Current Price$12.18
Upside / Downside-59.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $10.38M
Current: 16.3×
Default: $1.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.95
Current Price$12.18
Upside / Downside-1.9%
Implied EV$169.03M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.00B-$998.90M$1.10M$1.00B$2.00B
12.3x$151.29$80.14$8.99$-62.15$-133.30
14.3x$152.76$81.62$10.47$-60.68$-131.82
16.3x$154.24$83.09$11.95$-59.20$-130.35
18.3x$155.72$84.57$13.43$-57.72$-128.87
20.3x$157.20$86.05$14.90$-56.24$-127.39