HR

HR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($18.43)
DCF$-6.43-134.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 35.6%
DDM$21.22+15.1%
EV/EBITDA$18.60+0.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $107.20M
Rev: -7.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 5.39%
Computed WACC: 5.39%
Cost of equity (Re)8.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.24%
Debt weight (D/V)38.76%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$0.39
Current Price$18.43
Upside / Downside-97.9%
Net Debt (used)$4.13B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-6.38$-5.28$-4.00$-2.52$-0.82
8.0%$-7.35$-6.47$-5.44$-4.25$-2.88
9.0%$-8.02$-7.29$-6.43$-5.44$-4.31
10.0%$-8.52$-7.89$-7.16$-6.32$-5.35
11.0%$-8.89$-8.35$-7.71$-6.99$-6.15

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.71
Yahoo: $13.13

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$18.43
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.39%
Computed WACC: 5.39%
Cost of equity (Re)8.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.82 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)61.24%
Debt weight (D/V)38.76%

Results

Current Price$18.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth19.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-7.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$107.20M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.03

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$21.22
Current Price$18.43
Upside / Downside+15.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $703.89M
Current: 15.1×
Default: $4.13B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$18.60
Current Price$18.43
Upside / Downside+0.9%
Implied EV$10.61B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$2.13B$3.13B$4.13B$5.13B$6.13B
11.1x$16.26$13.40$10.53$7.66$4.80
13.1x$20.30$17.43$14.57$11.70$8.83
15.1x$24.34$21.47$18.60$15.74$12.87
17.1x$28.37$25.50$22.64$19.77$16.90
19.1x$32.41$29.54$26.67$23.81$20.94