HRI

HRI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($140.91)
DCF$461.88+227.8%
Graham Number$6.28-95.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.1%
DDM$57.68-59.1%
EV/EBITDA$140.92+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $403.75M
Rev: 27.1% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.52%
Computed WACC: 4.52%
Cost of equity (Re)13.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)32.69%
Debt weight (D/V)67.31%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2508.35
Current Price$140.91
Upside / Downside+1680.1%
Net Debt (used)$9.63B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term19.1%23.1%27.1%31.1%35.1%
7.0%$555.07$700.98$866.75$1054.35$1265.90
8.0%$381.92$496.85$627.34$774.95$941.32
9.0%$263.16$356.86$463.19$583.41$718.84
10.0%$176.94$255.26$344.09$444.46$557.48
11.0%$111.72$178.43$254.04$339.43$435.53

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.03
Yahoo: $58.50

Results

Graham Number$6.28
Current Price$140.91
Margin of Safety-95.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.52%
Computed WACC: 4.52%
Cost of equity (Re)13.84%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)32.69%
Debt weight (D/V)67.31%

Results

Current Price$140.91
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-1.9%
Historical Revenue Growth27.1%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$403.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$57.68
Current Price$140.91
Upside / Downside-59.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $894.00M
Current: 16.0×
Default: $9.63B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$140.92
Current Price$140.91
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$14.33B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.63B$7.63B$9.63B$11.63B$13.63B
12.0x$153.62$93.69$33.76$-26.18$-86.11
14.0x$207.21$147.27$87.34$27.40$-32.53
16.0x$260.79$200.85$140.92$80.99$21.05
18.0x$314.37$254.43$194.50$134.57$74.63
20.0x$367.95$308.01$248.08$188.15$128.21