HRMY

HRMY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($27.83)
DCF$173.57+523.7%
Graham Number$32.79+17.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -17.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$28.66+3.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $211.46M
Rev: 21.1% / EPS: -55.0%
Computed: 8.71%
Computed WACC: 8.71%
Cost of equity (Re)8.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.84 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.54%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.45%
Debt weight (D/V)9.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$182.07
Current Price$27.83
Upside / Downside+554.2%
Net Debt (used)-$606.09M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term13.1%17.1%21.1%25.1%29.1%
7.0%$188.58$220.76$257.53$299.38$346.82
8.0%$153.05$178.51$207.59$240.67$278.13
9.0%$128.62$149.48$173.29$200.34$230.97
10.0%$110.85$128.37$148.34$171.02$196.69
11.0%$97.37$112.36$129.43$148.81$170.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.17
Yahoo: $15.07

Results

Graham Number$32.79
Current Price$27.83
Margin of Safety+17.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.71%
Computed WACC: 8.71%
Cost of equity (Re)8.92%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.84 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.54%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)90.45%
Debt weight (D/V)9.55%

Results

Current Price$27.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-18.0%
Historical Revenue Growth21.1%
Historical Earnings Growth-55.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$211.46M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$27.83
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $233.80M
Current: 4.5×
Default: -$606.09M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$28.66
Current Price$27.83
Upside / Downside+3.0%
Implied EV$1.04B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.61B-$1.61B-$606.09M$393.91M$1.39B
0.5x$47.15$29.79$12.42$-4.94$-22.30
2.5x$55.27$37.90$20.54$3.18$-14.18
4.5x$63.38$46.02$28.66$11.30$-6.06
6.5x$71.50$54.14$36.78$19.42$2.05
8.5x$79.62$62.26$44.90$27.54$10.17