HSDT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($2.12)
DCF	$-174546447974.67	-8233323017773.0%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$127.32M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 1266.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.06%

Computed WACC: 10.06%

Cost of equity (Re)10.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.05 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)100.00%

Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-137835482688.39

Current Price$2.12

Upside / Downside-6501673711816.3%

Net Debt (used)-$124.05M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	1258.7%	1262.7%	1266.7%	1270.7%	1274.7%
7.0%	$-288407891918.95	$-292678312525.20	$-296999169270.85	$-301370907602.61	$-305793975582.24
8.0%	$-217365696720.43	$-220584204129.46	$-223840723973.58	$-227135591974.65	$-230469145825.39
9.0%	$-169555003267.34	$-172065583519.61	$-174605815177.13	$-177175960117.98	$-179776281757.68
10.0%	$-135569839038.85	$-137577205075.63	$-139608279266.26	$-141663270998.66	$-143742390890.00
11.0%	$-110440903975.50	$-112076188912.22	$-113730787509.46	$-115404870343.45	$-117098608991.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-829.83

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $-3.78

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative. BVPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$2.12

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.06%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.06%

Cost of equity (Re)10.06%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.05 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)100.00%

Debt weight (D/V)0.00%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$2.12

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth1266.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$127.32M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.12

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$14.66M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 3.2×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$124.05M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.46

Current Price$2.12

Upside / Downside-31.0%

Implied EV-$46.82M

← Overview Financial Statements ← Companies