HSHP

HSHP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($14.52)
DCF$120732129724.80+831488496627.3%
Graham Number$5.44-62.5%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.3%
DDM$15.45+6.4%
EV/EBITDA$14.52+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $44.23M
Rev: 42.2% / EPS: 1349.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$120732129724.80
Current Price$14.52
Upside / Downside+831488496627.3%
Net Debt (used)$656.80M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1341.0%1345.0%1349.0%1353.0%1357.0%
7.0%$199794255399.18$202582687447.87$205402166396.73$208252950788.41$211135300596.90
8.0%$150565030600.41$152666394083.54$154791154522.57$156939506755.32$159111646698.30
9.0%$117435888814.70$119074884832.82$120732129724.80$122407775457.89$124101974840.66
10.0%$93888045369.25$95198395486.34$96523335275.07$97862986230.73$99217470521.24
11.0%$76477560206.14$77544920574.29$78624165122.77$79715392816.94$80818703170.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.38
Yahoo: $3.47

Results

Graham Number$5.44
Current Price$14.52
Margin of Safety-62.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$14.52
Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.3%
Historical Revenue Growth42.2%
Historical Earnings Growth1349.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$44.23M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.75

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.45
Current Price$14.52
Upside / Downside+6.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $97.40M
Current: 13.7×
Default: $656.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$14.52
Current Price$14.52
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$1.33B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.34B-$343.20M$656.80M$1.66B$2.66B
9.7x$49.04$27.61$6.17$-15.27$-36.70
11.7x$53.22$31.78$10.34$-11.09$-32.53
13.7x$57.39$35.96$14.52$-6.92$-28.35
15.7x$61.57$40.13$18.70$-2.74$-24.18
17.7x$65.74$44.31$22.87$1.44$-20.00