HTCO

HTCO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.38)
DCF$361.27+3751.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -12.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.07M
Rev: 56.8% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$361.27
Current Price$9.38
Upside / Downside+3751.5%
Net Debt (used)-$10.04M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term48.8%52.8%56.8%60.8%64.8%
7.0%$444.97$507.14$576.13$652.48$736.76
8.0%$346.60$394.83$448.35$507.56$572.92
9.0%$279.56$318.30$361.27$408.81$461.28
10.0%$231.24$263.14$298.52$337.66$380.84
11.0%$194.97$221.74$251.43$284.26$320.48

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-4.16
Yahoo: $1.17

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$9.38
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$9.38
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-12.1%
Historical Revenue Growth56.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$9.07M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$9.38
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$19.91M
Current: -2.9×
Default: -$10.04M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$9.32
Current Price$9.38
Upside / Downside-0.7%
Implied EV$57.84M