HTH

HTH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($38.30)
DCF$-26.03-168.0%
Graham Number$46.51+21.4%
Reverse DCF
DDM$15.24-60.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 4.9% / EPS: 25.7%
Computed: 4.60%
Computed WACC: 4.60%
Cost of equity (Re)9.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)49.09%
Debt weight (D/V)50.91%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-26.03
Current Price$38.30
Upside / Downside-168.0%
Net Debt (used)$1.55B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term17.7%21.7%25.7%29.7%33.7%
7.0%$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03
8.0%$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03
9.0%$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03
10.0%$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03
11.0%$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03$-26.03

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.64
Yahoo: $36.42

Results

Graham Number$46.51
Current Price$38.30
Margin of Safety+21.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.60%
Computed WACC: 4.60%
Cost of equity (Re)9.37%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.92 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)49.09%
Debt weight (D/V)50.91%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$38.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth4.9%
Historical Earnings Growth25.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.74

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.24
Current Price$38.30
Upside / Downside-60.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $1.55B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-26.03
Current Price$38.30
Upside / Downside-168.0%
Implied EV$0