HUN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($12.29)
DCF	$10.70	-12.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 6.2%
DDM	$7.21	-41.4%
EV/EBITDA	$13.86	+12.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $218.25M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -6.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 3.85%

Computed WACC: 3.85%

Cost of equity (Re)8.17%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)47.08%

Debt weight (D/V)52.92%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$95.91

Current Price$12.29

Upside / Downside+680.1%

Net Debt (used)$1.97B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$10.89	$15.39	$20.62	$26.68	$33.65
8.0%	$6.93	$10.55	$14.76	$19.62	$25.21
9.0%	$4.19	$7.21	$10.70	$14.74	$19.38
10.0%	$2.18	$4.75	$7.73	$11.16	$15.10
11.0%	$0.64	$2.87	$5.46	$8.43	$11.84

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.59

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $15.93

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$12.29

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 3.85%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 3.85%

Cost of equity (Re)8.17%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.70 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)47.08%

Debt weight (D/V)52.92%

Results

Current Price$12.29

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-15.7%

Historical Revenue Growth-6.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$218.25M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $0.35

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$7.21

Current Price$12.29

Upside / Downside-41.4%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $264.00M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 16.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.97B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$13.86

Current Price$12.29

Upside / Downside+12.7%

Implied EV$4.38B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.97B	$1.97B	$1.97B	$1.97B	$1.97B
12.6x	$7.78	$7.78	$7.78	$7.78	$7.78
14.6x	$10.82	$10.82	$10.82	$10.82	$10.82
16.6x	$13.86	$13.86	$13.86	$13.86	$13.86
18.6x	$16.90	$16.90	$16.90	$16.90	$16.90
20.6x	$19.94	$19.94	$19.94	$19.94	$19.94

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