HURN

HURN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($146.26)
DCF$186.32+27.4%
Graham Number$65.62-55.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$133.30-8.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $147.47M
Rev: 11.3% / EPS: -6.5%
Computed: 4.13%
Computed WACC: 4.13%
Cost of equity (Re)5.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.09%
Debt weight (D/V)17.91%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$892.94
Current Price$146.26
Upside / Downside+510.5%
Net Debt (used)$527.35M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.3%7.3%11.3%15.3%19.3%
7.0%$196.23$240.21$291.01$349.40$416.22
8.0%$153.61$188.74$229.27$275.81$329.02
9.0%$124.18$153.22$186.69$225.07$268.91
10.0%$102.67$127.27$155.59$188.03$225.05
11.0%$86.28$107.50$131.91$159.84$191.69

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.97
Yahoo: $32.06

Results

Graham Number$65.62
Current Price$146.26
Margin of Safety-55.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.13%
Computed WACC: 4.13%
Cost of equity (Re)5.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.13 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.09%
Debt weight (D/V)17.91%

Results

Current Price$146.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-12.2%
Historical Revenue Growth11.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-6.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$147.47M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$146.26
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $219.16M
Current: 12.9×
Default: $527.35M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$133.30
Current Price$146.26
Upside / Downside-8.9%
Implied EV$2.83B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.47B-$472.65M$527.35M$1.53B$2.53B
8.9x$198.45$140.45$82.45$24.45$-33.55
10.9x$223.87$165.87$107.87$49.88$-8.12
12.9x$249.30$191.30$133.30$75.30$17.30
14.9x$274.72$216.72$158.72$100.72$42.72
16.9x$300.14$242.14$184.14$126.14$68.14