HVT

HVT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($23.17)
DCF$27.26+17.6%
Graham Number$22.41-3.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.3%
DDM$26.78+15.6%
EV/EBITDA$24.86+7.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $21.94M
Rev: 9.5% / EPS: 3.8%
Computed: 7.20%
Computed WACC: 7.20%
Cost of equity (Re)11.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.07%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.52%
Debt weight (D/V)36.48%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$40.88
Current Price$23.17
Upside / Downside+76.4%
Net Debt (used)$91.09M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.5%5.5%9.5%13.5%17.5%
7.0%$28.45$35.22$43.07$52.09$62.45
8.0%$22.06$27.48$33.75$40.96$49.21
9.0%$17.64$22.13$27.31$33.27$40.09
10.0%$14.41$18.22$22.61$27.65$33.42
11.0%$11.94$15.23$19.03$23.38$28.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.17
Yahoo: $19.07

Results

Graham Number$22.41
Current Price$23.17
Margin of Safety-3.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.20%
Computed WACC: 7.20%
Cost of equity (Re)11.31%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.27 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.07%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.52%
Debt weight (D/V)36.48%

Results

Current Price$23.17
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.9%
Historical Revenue Growth9.5%
Historical Earnings Growth3.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$21.94M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.30

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$26.78
Current Price$23.17
Upside / Downside+15.6%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $45.46M
Current: 10.2×
Default: $91.09M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$24.86
Current Price$23.17
Upside / Downside+7.3%
Implied EV$465.16M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.91B-$908.91M$91.09M$1.09B$2.09B
6.2x$145.69$79.23$12.77$-53.68$-120.14
8.2x$151.74$85.28$18.82$-47.64$-114.10
10.2x$157.78$91.32$24.86$-41.60$-108.06
12.2x$163.82$97.36$30.90$-35.56$-102.02
14.2x$169.86$103.40$36.95$-29.51$-95.97