HY

HY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($37.61)
DCF$15.98-57.5%
Graham Number$9.76-74.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.9%
DDM$29.66-21.1%
EV/EBITDA$50.20+33.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $35.40M
Rev: -3.6% / EPS: —
Computed: 10.01%
Computed WACC: 10.01%
Cost of equity (Re)12.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.78%
Debt weight (D/V)41.22%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$10.06
Current Price$37.61
Upside / Downside-73.2%
Net Debt (used)$393.20M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$16.36$25.23$35.55$47.50$61.27
8.0%$8.55$15.69$23.99$33.58$44.61
9.0%$3.14$9.08$15.98$23.95$33.09
10.0%$-0.84$4.24$10.11$16.89$24.66
11.0%$-3.88$0.53$5.63$11.50$18.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.14
Yahoo: $30.25

Results

Graham Number$9.76
Current Price$37.61
Margin of Safety-74.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.01%
Computed WACC: 10.01%
Cost of equity (Re)12.80%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.65%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)58.78%
Debt weight (D/V)41.22%

Results

Current Price$37.61
Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.7%
Historical Revenue Growth-3.6%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$35.40M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$37.61
Upside / Downside-21.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $126.00M
Current: 8.8×
Default: $393.20M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$50.20
Current Price$37.61
Upside / Downside+33.5%
Implied EV$1.11B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.61B-$606.80M$393.20M$1.39B$2.39B
4.8x$154.93$84.92$14.91$-55.10$-125.11
6.8x$172.57$102.56$32.55$-37.46$-107.46
8.8x$190.21$120.20$50.20$-19.81$-89.82
10.8x$207.85$137.85$67.84$-2.17$-72.18
12.8x$225.50$155.49$85.48$15.47$-54.54