HYFM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($1.26)
DCF	$34.03	+2600.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -6.5%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $17.66M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -33.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 0.63%

Computed WACC: 0.63%

Cost of equity (Re)17.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)3.50%

Debt weight (D/V)96.50%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.26

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)$151.26M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$34.60	$48.15	$63.91	$82.16	$103.17
8.0%	$22.67	$33.58	$46.25	$60.89	$77.74
9.0%	$14.41	$23.49	$34.03	$46.19	$60.16
10.0%	$8.35	$16.09	$25.07	$35.41	$47.28
11.0%	$3.70	$10.43	$18.22	$27.18	$37.45

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-14.06

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $38.20

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$1.26

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 0.63%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 0.63%

Cost of equity (Re)17.93%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.48 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)3.50%

Debt weight (D/V)96.50%

Results

Current Price$1.26

Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%

Historical Revenue Growth-33.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$17.66M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$1.26

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$18.27M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -8.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: $151.26M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$1.38

Current Price$1.26

Upside / Downside+9.4%

Implied EV$157.70M

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