ICFI

ICFI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($76.19)
DCF$30.32-60.2%
Graham Number$81.98+7.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.6%
DDM$11.54-84.9%
EV/EBITDA$77.13+1.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $64.20M
Rev: -10.6% / EPS: -27.4%
Computed: 4.75%
Computed WACC: 4.75%
Cost of equity (Re)6.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.01%
Debt weight (D/V)28.99%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$147.25
Current Price$76.19
Upside / Downside+93.3%
Net Debt (used)$568.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$30.84$43.31$57.82$74.61$93.94
8.0%$19.87$29.91$41.57$55.04$70.54
9.0%$12.27$20.63$30.32$41.51$54.36
10.0%$6.69$13.82$22.07$31.59$42.52
11.0%$2.41$8.61$15.77$24.02$33.47

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.30
Yahoo: $56.36

Results

Graham Number$81.98
Current Price$76.19
Margin of Safety+7.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.75%
Computed WACC: 4.75%
Cost of equity (Re)6.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)71.01%
Debt weight (D/V)28.99%

Results

Current Price$76.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-2.5%
Historical Revenue Growth-10.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-27.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$64.20M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.56

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.54
Current Price$76.19
Upside / Downside-84.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $203.61M
Current: 9.8×
Default: $568.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$77.13
Current Price$76.19
Upside / Downside+1.2%
Implied EV$1.99B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.43B-$431.90M$568.10M$1.57B$2.57B
5.8x$141.44$87.20$32.95$-21.29$-75.53
7.8x$163.53$109.29$55.04$0.80$-53.44
9.8x$185.62$131.37$77.13$22.89$-31.35
11.8x$207.70$153.46$99.22$44.98$-9.26
13.8x$229.79$175.55$121.31$67.07$12.83