IDA

IDA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($143.24)
DCF$-418.72-392.3%
Graham Number$92.34-35.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$71.69-50.0%
EV/EBITDA$145.63+1.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$738.81M
Rev: 1.8% / EPS: 11.7%
Computed: 6.49%
Computed WACC: 6.49%
Cost of equity (Re)7.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.84%
Debt weight (D/V)32.16%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-662.03
Current Price$143.24
Upside / Downside-562.2%
Net Debt (used)$3.45B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term3.7%7.7%11.7%15.7%19.7%
7.0%$-435.69$-507.59$-590.59$-685.94$-795.01
8.0%$-365.62$-423.03$-489.22$-565.19$-652.01
9.0%$-317.26$-364.69$-419.31$-481.95$-553.47
10.0%$-281.91$-322.07$-368.27$-421.20$-481.57
11.0%$-254.98$-289.61$-329.42$-374.98$-426.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.82
Yahoo: $65.11

Results

Graham Number$92.34
Current Price$143.24
Margin of Safety-35.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.49%
Computed WACC: 6.49%
Cost of equity (Re)7.59%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.60 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.84%
Debt weight (D/V)32.16%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$143.24
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth1.8%
Historical Earnings Growth11.7%
Base FCF (TTM)-$738.81M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.48

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$71.69
Current Price$143.24
Upside / Downside-50.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $606.39M
Current: 18.7×
Default: $3.45B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$145.63
Current Price$143.24
Upside / Downside+1.7%
Implied EV$11.32B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.45B$2.45B$3.45B$4.45B$5.45B
14.7x$137.75$119.25$100.75$82.24$63.74
16.7x$160.19$141.69$123.19$104.68$86.18
18.7x$182.63$164.13$145.63$127.13$108.62
20.7x$205.07$186.57$168.07$149.57$131.06
22.7x$227.51$209.01$190.51$172.01$153.50