IDCC

IDCC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($370.43)
DCF$347.42-6.2%
Graham Number$106.64-71.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 6.2%
DDM$57.68-84.4%
EV/EBITDA$378.83+2.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $465.55M
Rev: -37.4% / EPS: -70.5%
Computed: 12.39%
Computed WACC: 12.39%
Cost of equity (Re)13.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.09%
Debt weight (D/V)4.91%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$237.15
Current Price$370.43
Upside / Downside-36.0%
Net Debt (used)-$750.86M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$350.15$415.05$490.55$577.94$678.58
8.0%$293.05$345.28$405.96$476.09$556.77
9.0%$253.48$296.97$347.42$405.65$472.56
10.0%$224.43$261.53$304.51$354.05$410.90
11.0%$202.19$234.43$271.71$314.63$363.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $11.79
Yahoo: $42.87

Results

Graham Number$106.64
Current Price$370.43
Margin of Safety-71.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 12.39%
Computed WACC: 12.39%
Cost of equity (Re)13.03%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.59 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.09%
Debt weight (D/V)4.91%

Results

Current Price$370.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth14.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-37.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-70.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$465.55M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$57.68
Current Price$370.43
Upside / Downside-84.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $539.28M
Current: 16.7×
Default: -$750.86M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$378.83
Current Price$370.43
Upside / Downside+2.3%
Implied EV$8.98B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.75B-$1.75B-$750.86M$249.14M$1.25B
12.7x$372.72$333.79$294.86$255.92$216.99
14.7x$414.71$375.78$336.84$297.91$258.98
16.7x$456.69$417.76$378.83$339.90$300.97
18.7x$498.68$459.75$420.82$381.89$342.96
20.7x$540.67$501.74$462.81$423.88$384.95