IHG

IHG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($133.78)
DCF$69.05-48.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 16.9%
DDM$38.11-71.5%
EV/EBITDA$134.40+0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $673.63M
Rev: 2.7% / EPS: 7.7%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$69.20
Current Price$133.78
Upside / Downside-48.3%
Net Debt (used)$3.49B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.3%3.7%7.7%11.7%15.7%
7.0%$71.42$90.24$112.05$137.22$166.14
8.0%$54.15$69.24$86.71$106.85$129.96
9.0%$42.20$54.72$69.20$85.87$104.98
10.0%$33.44$44.09$56.39$70.53$86.72
11.0%$26.75$35.97$46.61$58.83$72.80

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.87
Yahoo: $-18.18

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$133.78
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$133.78
Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.9%
Historical Revenue Growth2.7%
Historical Earnings Growth7.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$673.63M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.85

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$38.11
Current Price$133.78
Upside / Downside-71.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.23B
Current: 19.3×
Default: $3.49B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$134.40
Current Price$133.78
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$23.66B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.49B$2.49B$3.49B$4.49B$5.49B
15.3x$115.00$108.34$101.68$95.02$88.36
17.3x$131.36$124.70$118.04$111.38$104.72
19.3x$147.72$141.06$134.40$127.74$121.08
21.3x$164.08$157.42$150.76$144.10$137.44
23.3x$180.44$173.78$167.12$160.46$153.80