ISRG

ISRG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($496.25)
DCF$266.03-46.4%
Graham Number$93.49-81.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 30.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$503.84+1.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.27B
Rev: 18.8% / EPS: 16.6%
Computed: 13.43%
Computed WACC: 13.43%
Cost of equity (Re)13.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.66 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.90%
Debt weight (D/V)0.10%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$152.54
Current Price$496.25
Upside / Downside-69.3%
Net Debt (used)-$5.76B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.8%14.8%18.8%22.8%26.8%
7.0%$286.71$336.43$393.38$458.33$532.12
8.0%$233.38$272.80$317.92$369.34$427.72
9.0%$196.69$229.04$266.03$308.17$355.98
10.0%$169.96$197.17$228.27$263.66$303.79
11.0%$149.67$173.00$199.63$229.91$264.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.74
Yahoo: $50.19

Results

Graham Number$93.49
Current Price$496.25
Margin of Safety-81.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 13.43%
Computed WACC: 13.43%
Cost of equity (Re)13.44%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.66 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.90%
Debt weight (D/V)0.10%

Results

Current Price$496.25
Implied Near-term FCF Growth43.7%
Historical Revenue Growth18.8%
Historical Earnings Growth16.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$2.27B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$496.25
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.56B
Current: 48.7×
Default: -$5.76B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$503.84
Current Price$496.25
Upside / Downside+1.5%
Implied EV$173.16B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$7.76B-$6.76B-$5.76B-$4.76B-$3.76B
44.7x$469.39$466.58$463.76$460.95$458.13
46.7x$489.43$486.62$483.80$480.98$478.17
48.7x$509.47$506.65$503.84$501.02$498.21
50.7x$529.51$526.69$523.88$521.06$518.24
52.7x$549.55$546.73$543.91$541.10$538.28