ITIC

ITIC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($233.17)
DCF$43.20-81.5%
Graham Number$243.61+4.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$37.90-83.7%
EV/EBITDA$230.96-0.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -1.6% / EPS: -10.2%
Computed: 7.74%
Computed WACC: 7.74%
Cost of equity (Re)7.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.65 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.20%
Debt weight (D/V)1.80%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$43.20
Current Price$233.17
Upside / Downside-81.5%
Net Debt (used)-$81.55M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20
8.0%$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20
9.0%$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20
10.0%$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20
11.0%$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20$43.20

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $18.56
Yahoo: $142.11

Results

Graham Number$243.61
Current Price$233.17
Margin of Safety+4.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.74%
Computed WACC: 7.74%
Cost of equity (Re)7.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.65 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)98.20%
Debt weight (D/V)1.80%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$233.17
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-1.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-10.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.84

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$37.90
Current Price$233.17
Upside / Downside-83.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $48.97M
Current: 7.2×
Default: -$81.55M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$230.96
Current Price$233.17
Upside / Downside-0.9%
Implied EV$354.40M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.08B-$1.08B-$81.55M$918.45M$1.92B
3.2x$1186.74$656.96$127.18$-402.60$-932.38
5.2x$1238.63$708.85$179.07$-350.71$-880.49
7.2x$1290.52$760.74$230.96$-298.82$-828.60
9.2x$1342.41$812.63$282.84$-246.94$-776.72
11.2x$1394.29$864.51$334.73$-195.05$-724.83