ITRI

ITRI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($93.94)
DCF$3775.28+3918.8%
Graham Number$74.75-20.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 4.2%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$94.42+0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $267.76M
Rev: -6.7% / EPS: 73.6%
Computed: 9.71%
Computed WACC: 9.71%
Cost of equity (Re)12.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.68%
Debt weight (D/V)23.32%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3272.64
Current Price$93.94
Upside / Downside+3383.8%
Net Debt (used)$263.38M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term65.6%69.6%73.6%77.6%81.6%
7.0%$4829.88$5438.69$6107.47$6840.57$7642.52
8.0%$3733.23$4203.12$4719.27$5284.99$5903.80
9.0%$2987.45$3362.91$3775.28$4227.23$4721.53
10.0%$2451.21$2758.79$3096.58$3466.74$3871.56
11.0%$2049.77$2306.55$2588.52$2897.48$3235.34

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.50
Yahoo: $38.21

Results

Graham Number$74.75
Current Price$93.94
Margin of Safety-20.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.71%
Computed WACC: 9.71%
Cost of equity (Re)12.67%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.52 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)76.68%
Debt weight (D/V)23.32%

Results

Current Price$93.94
Implied Near-term FCF Growth6.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-6.7%
Historical Earnings Growth73.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$267.76M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$93.94
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $362.78M
Current: 12.4×
Default: $263.38M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$94.42
Current Price$93.94
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$4.51B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.74B-$736.62M$263.38M$1.26B$2.26B
8.4x$106.63$84.38$62.13$39.88$17.63
10.4x$122.78$100.53$78.28$56.03$33.77
12.4x$138.92$116.67$94.42$72.17$49.92
14.4x$155.07$132.82$110.57$88.31$66.06
16.4x$171.21$148.96$126.71$104.46$82.21