ITRN

ITRN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($47.46)
DCF$57.34+20.8%
Graham Number$26.01-45.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.0%
DDM$41.20-13.2%
EV/EBITDA$47.78+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $43.47M
Rev: 10.5% / EPS: 7.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$57.43
Current Price$47.46
Upside / Downside+21.0%
Net Debt (used)-$88.22M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.5%6.5%10.5%14.5%18.5%
7.0%$59.52$70.27$82.68$96.97$113.33
8.0%$49.23$57.82$67.74$79.13$92.17
9.0%$42.13$49.23$57.43$66.83$77.58
10.0%$36.93$42.95$49.89$57.85$66.93
11.0%$32.97$38.17$44.15$51.01$58.83

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.82
Yahoo: $10.66

Results

Graham Number$26.01
Current Price$47.46
Margin of Safety-45.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$47.46
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.0%
Historical Revenue Growth10.5%
Historical Earnings Growth7.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$43.47M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$41.20
Current Price$47.46
Upside / Downside-13.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $93.39M
Current: 9.2×
Default: -$88.22M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$47.78
Current Price$47.46
Upside / Downside+0.7%
Implied EV$862.25M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.09B-$1.09B-$88.22M$911.78M$1.91B
5.2x$129.54$79.27$29.00$-21.27$-71.53
7.2x$138.92$88.66$38.39$-11.88$-62.15
9.2x$148.31$98.05$47.78$-2.49$-52.76
11.2x$157.70$107.43$57.17$6.90$-43.37
13.2x$167.09$116.82$66.56$16.29$-33.98