J

J — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($139.03)
DCF$237.15+70.6%
Graham Number$50.04-64.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.7%
DDM$29.66-78.7%
EV/EBITDA$148.38+6.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.09B
Rev: 12.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.06%
Computed WACC: 7.06%
Cost of equity (Re)8.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.73%
Debt weight (D/V)15.27%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$353.29
Current Price$139.03
Upside / Downside+154.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.41B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term4.3%8.3%12.3%16.3%20.3%
7.0%$249.87$300.30$358.48$425.27$501.63
8.0%$200.31$240.54$286.91$340.10$400.84
9.0%$166.11$199.33$237.57$281.40$331.41
10.0%$141.12$169.23$201.56$238.56$280.76
11.0%$122.08$146.31$174.15$205.99$242.26

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.80
Yahoo: $29.29

Results

Graham Number$50.04
Current Price$139.03
Margin of Safety-64.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.06%
Computed WACC: 7.06%
Cost of equity (Re)8.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)84.73%
Debt weight (D/V)15.27%

Results

Current Price$139.03
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-1.9%
Historical Revenue Growth12.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$1.09B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.44

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$29.66
Current Price$139.03
Upside / Downside-78.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.28B
Current: 14.7×
Default: $1.41B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$148.38
Current Price$139.03
Upside / Downside+6.7%
Implied EV$18.83B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.41B$1.41B$1.41B$1.41B$1.41B
10.7x$104.82$104.82$104.82$104.82$104.82
12.7x$126.60$126.60$126.60$126.60$126.60
14.7x$148.38$148.38$148.38$148.38$148.38
16.7x$170.15$170.15$170.15$170.15$170.15
18.7x$191.93$191.93$191.93$191.93$191.93