JBSS

JBSS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($80.68)
DCF$247.40+206.6%
Graham Number$65.33-19.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 13.0%
DDM$18.54-77.0%
EV/EBITDA$106.48+32.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $28.78M
Rev: 4.6% / EPS: 31.9%
Computed: 5.79%
Computed WACC: 5.79%
Cost of equity (Re)6.24%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.82%
Debt weight (D/V)7.18%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$558.94
Current Price$80.68
Upside / Downside+592.8%
Net Debt (used)$70.58M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term23.9%27.9%31.9%35.9%39.9%
7.0%$284.43$333.21$388.39$450.57$520.42
8.0%$223.37$261.67$304.97$353.75$408.52
9.0%$181.55$212.68$247.85$287.46$331.92
10.0%$151.23$177.17$206.47$239.44$276.43
11.0%$128.34$150.37$175.23$203.20$234.57

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $5.99
Yahoo: $31.67

Results

Graham Number$65.33
Current Price$80.68
Margin of Safety-19.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.79%
Computed WACC: 5.79%
Cost of equity (Re)6.24%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.82%
Debt weight (D/V)7.18%

Results

Current Price$80.68
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.6%
Historical Revenue Growth4.6%
Historical Earnings Growth31.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$28.78M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.90

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.54
Current Price$80.68
Upside / Downside-77.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $125.54M
Current: 8.3×
Default: $70.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$106.48
Current Price$80.68
Upside / Downside+32.0%
Implied EV$1.04B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.93B-$929.41M$70.58M$1.07B$2.07B
4.3x$271.27$161.26$51.24$-58.78$-168.80
6.3x$298.90$188.88$78.86$-31.16$-141.18
8.3x$326.52$216.50$106.48$-3.53$-113.55
10.3x$354.14$244.13$134.11$24.09$-85.93
12.3x$381.77$271.75$161.73$51.71$-58.31