JEF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($44.26)
DCF	$105.97	+139.5%
Graham Number	$57.33	+29.6%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$32.96	-25.5%
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: —

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 5.7% / EPS: -9.3%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 2.46%

Computed WACC: 2.46%

Cost of equity (Re)12.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.50 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)19.60%

Debt weight (D/V)80.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$44.26

Upside / Downside—

Net Debt (used)-$21.90B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-2.3%	1.7%	5.7%	9.7%	13.7%
7.0%	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97
8.0%	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97
9.0%	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97
10.0%	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97
11.0%	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97	$105.97

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $2.85

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $51.26

Results

Graham Number$57.33

Current Price$44.26

Margin of Safety+29.6%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 2.46%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 2.46%

Cost of equity (Re)12.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.50 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)19.60%

Debt weight (D/V)80.40%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$44.26

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth5.7%

Historical Earnings Growth-9.3%

Base FCF (TTM)—

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.60

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.96

Current Price$44.26

Upside / Downside-25.5%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: —

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: —×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$21.90B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$105.97

Current Price$44.26

Upside / Downside+139.5%

Implied EV$0

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