JFR

JFR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($7.50)
DCF$9.95+32.6%
Graham Number$10.54+40.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 1.5%
DDM$21.01+180.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $120.57M
Rev: -7.3% / EPS: -45.6%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$9.95
Current Price$7.50
Upside / Downside+32.6%
Net Debt (used)$515.56M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$10.06$12.74$15.86$19.47$23.63
8.0%$7.70$9.86$12.37$15.27$18.60
9.0%$6.07$7.86$9.95$12.35$15.12
10.0%$4.86$6.40$8.17$10.22$12.57
11.0%$3.95$5.28$6.82$8.59$10.63

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.56
Yahoo: $8.82

Results

Graham Number$10.54
Current Price$7.50
Margin of Safety+40.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$7.50
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.5%
Historical Revenue Growth-7.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-45.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$120.57M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.02

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$21.01
Current Price$7.50
Upside / Downside+180.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $515.56M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-3.20
Current Price$7.50
Upside / Downside-142.7%
Implied EV$0