JKHY

JKHY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($168.09)
DCF$308.93+83.8%
Graham Number$69.14-58.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.5%
DDM$48.41-71.2%
EV/EBITDA$164.20-2.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $335.26M
Rev: 7.9% / EPS: 28.4%
Computed: 8.25%
Computed WACC: 8.25%
Cost of equity (Re)8.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.44%
Debt weight (D/V)0.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$357.64
Current Price$168.09
Upside / Downside+112.8%
Net Debt (used)$40.28M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term20.4%24.4%28.4%32.4%36.4%
7.0%$348.50$408.29$476.13$552.82$639.21
8.0%$276.51$323.56$376.93$437.22$505.10
9.0%$227.15$265.48$308.93$357.99$413.21
10.0%$191.33$223.34$259.61$300.54$346.59
11.0%$164.25$191.49$222.33$257.13$296.26

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.96
Yahoo: $30.53

Results

Graham Number$69.14
Current Price$168.09
Margin of Safety-58.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.25%
Computed WACC: 8.25%
Cost of equity (Re)8.29%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.73 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)99.44%
Debt weight (D/V)0.56%

Results

Current Price$168.09
Implied Near-term FCF Growth15.2%
Historical Revenue Growth7.9%
Historical Earnings Growth28.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$335.26M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.35

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$48.41
Current Price$168.09
Upside / Downside-71.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $696.47M
Current: 17.1×
Default: $40.28M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$164.20
Current Price$168.09
Upside / Downside-2.3%
Implied EV$11.89B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.96B-$959.72M$40.28M$1.04B$2.04B
13.1x$153.31$139.45$125.60$111.74$97.88
15.1x$172.61$158.75$144.90$131.04$117.18
17.1x$191.91$178.06$164.20$150.34$136.49
19.1x$211.21$197.36$183.50$169.64$155.79
21.1x$230.51$216.66$202.80$188.94$175.09