JOE

JOE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($72.69)
DCF$654.12+799.9%
Graham Number$23.22-68.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.2%
DDM$13.18-81.9%
EV/EBITDA$72.60-0.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $116.64M
Rev: 23.5% / EPS: 59.4%
Computed: 10.19%
Computed WACC: 10.19%
Cost of equity (Re)11.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.02%
Debt weight (D/V)11.98%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$519.70
Current Price$72.69
Upside / Downside+615.0%
Net Debt (used)$443.13M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term51.4%55.4%59.4%63.4%67.4%
7.0%$813.20$926.28$1051.55$1189.96$1342.54
8.0%$630.41$718.06$815.15$922.40$1040.62
9.0%$505.89$576.22$654.12$740.16$834.97
10.0%$416.17$474.04$538.11$608.88$686.85
11.0%$348.87$397.39$451.10$510.41$575.75

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.80
Yahoo: $13.32

Results

Graham Number$23.22
Current Price$72.69
Margin of Safety-68.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.19%
Computed WACC: 10.19%
Cost of equity (Re)11.57%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.32 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.02%
Debt weight (D/V)11.98%

Results

Current Price$72.69
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.7%
Historical Revenue Growth23.5%
Historical Earnings Growth59.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$116.64M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.64

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$13.18
Current Price$72.69
Upside / Downside-81.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $193.70M
Current: 23.9×
Default: $443.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$72.60
Current Price$72.69
Upside / Downside-0.1%
Implied EV$4.64B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.56B-$556.87M$443.13M$1.44B$2.44B
19.9x$93.82$76.50$59.18$41.86$24.55
21.9x$100.52$83.21$65.89$48.57$31.25
23.9x$107.23$89.92$72.60$55.28$37.96
25.9x$113.94$96.62$79.31$61.99$44.67
27.9x$120.65$103.33$86.02$68.70$51.38