JPM

JPM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($307.13)
DCF$97.07-68.4%
Graham Number$239.17-22.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$123.60-59.8%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 2.5% / EPS: -3.6%
Computed: 4.53%
Computed WACC: 4.53%
Cost of equity (Re)10.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)44.90%
Debt weight (D/V)55.10%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$97.07
Current Price$307.13
Upside / Downside-68.4%
Net Debt (used)-$261.72B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07
8.0%$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07
9.0%$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07
10.0%$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07
11.0%$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07$97.07

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $20.02
Yahoo: $126.99

Results

Graham Number$239.17
Current Price$307.13
Margin of Safety-22.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.53%
Computed WACC: 4.53%
Cost of equity (Re)10.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.05 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)44.90%
Debt weight (D/V)55.10%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$307.13
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth2.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-3.6%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$123.60
Current Price$307.13
Upside / Downside-59.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$261.72B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$97.07
Current Price$307.13
Upside / Downside-68.4%
Implied EV$0
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