JRSH

JRSH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.19)
DCF$-9.00-382.7%
Graham Number$3.97+24.7%
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.12+29.4%
EV/EBITDA$3.21+0.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$3.12M
Rev: 18.0% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.90%
Computed WACC: 7.90%
Cost of equity (Re)9.79%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.65%
Debt weight (D/V)19.35%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-11.12
Current Price$3.19
Upside / Downside-449.2%
Net Debt (used)-$1.75M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.0%14.0%18.0%22.0%26.0%
7.0%$-9.72$-11.55$-13.64$-16.02$-18.74
8.0%$-7.79$-9.24$-10.89$-12.78$-14.93
9.0%$-6.46$-7.64$-9.00$-10.55$-12.31
10.0%$-5.49$-6.49$-7.63$-8.93$-10.41
11.0%$-4.75$-5.61$-6.59$-7.70$-8.97

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.14
Yahoo: $5.01

Results

Graham Number$3.97
Current Price$3.19
Margin of Safety+24.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.90%
Computed WACC: 7.90%
Cost of equity (Re)9.79%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.00 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)80.65%
Debt weight (D/V)19.35%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.19
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth18.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$3.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$3.19
Upside / Downside+29.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.41M
Current: 5.3×
Default: -$1.75M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.21
Current Price$3.19
Upside / Downside+0.9%
Implied EV$39.08M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.00B-$1.00B-$1.75M$998.25M$2.00B
1.3x$158.36$79.62$0.88$-77.86$-156.60
3.3x$159.53$80.79$2.05$-76.69$-155.43
5.3x$160.70$81.96$3.21$-75.53$-154.27
7.3x$161.86$83.12$4.38$-74.36$-153.10
9.3x$163.03$84.29$5.55$-73.19$-151.93