KAI

KAI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($345.83)
DCF$-21.38-106.2%
Graham Number$127.97-63.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$28.02-91.9%
EV/EBITDA$339.19-1.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 10.9% / EPS: -0.1%
Computed: 10.12%
Computed WACC: 10.12%
Cost of equity (Re)11.05%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.23 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.58%
Debt weight (D/V)8.42%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-21.38
Current Price$345.83
Upside / Downside-106.2%
Net Debt (used)$251.82M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.9%6.9%10.9%14.9%18.9%
7.0%$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38
8.0%$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38
9.0%$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38
10.0%$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38
11.0%$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38$-21.38

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $8.65
Yahoo: $84.14

Results

Graham Number$127.97
Current Price$345.83
Margin of Safety-63.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.12%
Computed WACC: 10.12%
Cost of equity (Re)11.05%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.23 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)91.58%
Debt weight (D/V)8.42%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$345.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth10.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-0.1%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.02
Current Price$345.83
Upside / Downside-91.9%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $207.87M
Current: 20.4×
Default: $251.82M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$339.19
Current Price$345.83
Upside / Downside-1.9%
Implied EV$4.25B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.75B-$748.18M$251.82M$1.25B$2.25B
16.4x$438.40$353.50$268.59$183.69$98.79
18.4x$473.70$388.79$303.89$218.99$134.09
20.4x$509.00$424.09$339.19$254.29$169.38
22.4x$544.29$459.39$374.49$289.58$204.68
24.4x$579.59$494.69$409.79$324.88$239.98