KBH

KBH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($61.17)
DCF$32.33-47.2%
Graham Number$92.44+51.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 12.1%
DDM$20.60-66.3%
EV/EBITDA$63.58+3.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $200.86M
Rev: -15.3% / EPS: -38.4%
Computed: 8.74%
Computed WACC: 8.74%
Cost of equity (Re)12.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.82%
Debt weight (D/V)30.18%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$34.68
Current Price$61.17
Upside / Downside-43.3%
Net Debt (used)$1.48B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$32.81$44.19$57.44$72.77$90.42
8.0%$22.79$31.95$42.60$54.90$69.05
9.0%$15.85$23.48$32.33$42.54$54.28
10.0%$10.75$17.26$24.80$33.49$43.46
11.0%$6.85$12.50$19.04$26.57$35.21

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.15
Yahoo: $61.75

Results

Graham Number$92.44
Current Price$61.17
Margin of Safety+51.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.74%
Computed WACC: 8.74%
Cost of equity (Re)12.51%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.49 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)69.82%
Debt weight (D/V)30.18%

Results

Current Price$61.17
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-15.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-38.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$200.86M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60
Current Price$61.17
Upside / Downside-66.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $611.40M
Current: 9.0×
Default: $1.48B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$63.58
Current Price$61.17
Upside / Downside+3.9%
Implied EV$5.50B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.48B$1.48B$1.48B$1.48B$1.48B
5.0x$24.87$24.87$24.87$24.87$24.87
7.0x$44.22$44.22$44.22$44.22$44.22
9.0x$63.58$63.58$63.58$63.58$63.58
11.0x$82.94$82.94$82.94$82.94$82.94
13.0x$102.29$102.29$102.29$102.29$102.29