KDP

KDP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.97)
DCF$6.80-77.3%
Graham Number$22.04-26.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.9%
DDM$18.95-36.8%
EV/EBITDA$29.97+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.13B
Rev: 10.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 4.25%
Computed WACC: 4.25%
Cost of equity (Re)6.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.92%
Debt weight (D/V)32.08%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$66.09
Current Price$29.97
Upside / Downside+120.5%
Net Debt (used)$18.21B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.5%6.5%10.5%14.5%18.5%
7.0%$7.63$11.74$16.48$21.93$28.18
8.0%$3.71$6.98$10.77$15.12$20.10
9.0%$0.99$3.70$6.83$10.43$14.53
10.0%$-0.99$1.31$3.96$6.99$10.46
11.0%$-2.51$-0.52$1.76$4.38$7.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.15
Yahoo: $18.78

Results

Graham Number$22.04
Current Price$29.97
Margin of Safety-26.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.25%
Computed WACC: 4.25%
Cost of equity (Re)6.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.35 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)67.92%
Debt weight (D/V)32.08%

Results

Current Price$29.97
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.6%
Historical Revenue Growth10.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$1.13B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.92

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.95
Current Price$29.97
Upside / Downside-36.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.46B
Current: 13.2×
Default: $18.21B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$29.97
Current Price$29.97
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$58.93B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$8.21B$13.21B$18.21B$23.21B$28.21B
9.2x$24.19$20.51$16.83$13.15$9.47
11.2x$30.76$27.08$23.40$19.72$16.04
13.2x$37.33$33.65$29.97$26.29$22.61
15.2x$43.91$40.23$36.55$32.87$29.18
17.2x$50.48$46.80$43.12$39.44$35.76