KELYA

KELYA — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.26)
DCF$92.78+901.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$6.18-33.3%
EV/EBITDA$10.37+12.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $170.56M
Rev: -11.9% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.62%
Computed WACC: 7.62%
Cost of equity (Re)8.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.57%
Debt weight (D/V)33.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$119.20
Current Price$9.26
Upside / Downside+1187.2%
Net Debt (used)$126.10M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$93.61$113.37$136.35$162.95$193.59
8.0%$76.23$92.13$110.60$131.95$156.51
9.0%$64.18$77.42$92.78$110.51$130.87
10.0%$55.34$66.64$79.72$94.80$112.10
11.0%$48.57$58.38$69.73$82.80$97.78

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-7.24
Yahoo: $28.57

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$9.26
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.62%
Computed WACC: 7.62%
Cost of equity (Re)8.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.78 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)7.27%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)66.57%
Debt weight (D/V)33.43%

Results

Current Price$9.26
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.9%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$170.56M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.30

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$6.18
Current Price$9.26
Upside / Downside-33.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $97.30M
Current: 4.6×
Default: $126.10M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$10.37
Current Price$9.26
Upside / Downside+12.0%
Implied EV$446.70M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.87B-$873.90M$126.10M$1.13B$2.13B
0.6x$62.47$30.13$-2.22$-34.56$-66.91
2.6x$68.77$36.42$4.08$-28.27$-60.62
4.6x$75.06$42.72$10.37$-21.98$-54.32
6.6x$81.36$49.01$16.66$-15.68$-48.03
8.6x$87.65$55.31$22.96$-9.39$-41.73